Retail Strategies & Supplier Insights

Discover how to build a Retail Compliance Operating System to control compliance issues. Learn Retail Compliance strategies for 2026 success.

If 2025 felt like retailers were measuring everything, 2026 is when they start enforcing it with fewer humans in the loop. The reason is simple: AI and automation spending is exploding. International Data Corporation (IDC) forecast that year-over-year spending on AI will grow 31.9% from 2025 to 2029, reaching $1.3 trillion by 2029, driven largely by agentic AI-enabled applications.

In the first quarter (Q1), promotions are enforced by systems, not people. Here’s how suppliers stop short pays, billback chaos, and trade spend leakage before it repeats all year. Trade spend is one of the biggest checks you write all year. And in Q1 (first quarter), it has a bad habit of turning into a second job—because the retailer’s system starts “auditing” your promotions for you. Not with a person. With rules.

Returns aren’t just a retailer's problem anymore. They’re a supplier profit problem. And January is when you feel it.

You’re trying to close Q4. Retailers are resetting priorities. Customers are returning gifts, disputing charges, and testing policies. And suddenly your finance team is staring at a number that feels… unfair.

Google announced the Universal Commerce Protocol (UCP) —an open standard designed to enable AI “agents” to communicate with retailers and commerce platforms throughout the purchase journey. And it didn’t show up alone. Google highlighted partnerships with  Walmart, Shopify, and Target  (among others), with the goal of letting customers complete purchases in  Google Search and Gemini  without hopping between apps and retailer sites. If you supply retail, here’s the simple take

You can have a strong sales year and still feel broke. That usually means one thing: money is leaking out after the sale—through deductions, chargebacks, and short pays.

2026 looks like a year of modest top-line growth, more challenging profit math, and more “systems-driven” retail. Translation: retailers will still want growth, but they’ll increasingly demand it through automation, tighter compliance, and pay-to-play visibility.

If you’re a retail supplier, 2025 probably felt like you were fighting margin with both hands tied behind your back. Not because demand disappeared. Not because your product suddenly got worse.

By early December, most suppliers are looking at the same thing: big, beautiful holiday sales numbers… and a deduction report that feels like a crime scene. Retailers are forecasting more than $1 trillion in U.S. holiday sales this year, with November and December accounting for around 19% of annual retail sales. That’s the good news.

By early December, most suppliers are looking at the same thing: big, beautiful holiday sales numbers… and a deduction report that feels like a crime scene. Retailers are forecasting more than $1 trillion in U.S. holiday sales this year, with November and December accounting for around 19% of annual retail sales. That’s the good news.

Nearly 203 million consumers shopped during the five-day Thanksgiving–Cyber Monday weekend—a record. More orders, more shipments, more exceptions. And that means more chargebacks. If November and December are when sales spike, January is when the chargebacks show up in your inbox. The trick is not just to pay them and move on, but to treat them like a free consulting report from your retailers.

Year-end close can feel like a necessary evil. Accruals. Reclasses. Deductions. Spreadsheets everywhere. But here’s the opportunity: the same work you are doing to close the books can help you open the story you tell buyers in 2026.

The confetti falls on New Year’s. Then January hits… and your deduction report looks like a horror movie. That’s not a coincidence. Holiday returns and “excessive defectives” programs are increasingly where retailers manage their risk—and where suppliers quietly lose a lot of money.

Cyber Monday has become the Super Bowl of online retail. In 2024, U.S. shoppers spent $13.3 billion online on Cyber Monday, up 7.3% year over year—the biggest single online shopping day ever recorded. During the peak hours of 8:00–10:00 p.m. Eastern, consumers were spending about $15.8 million per minute.

From the outside, Black Friday is all about doorbusters. From your side of the table, it’s about something way less glamorous: data integrity.

If you sell into big retail, your year isn’t 12 months long. It’s 12 months… plus the six-week sprint from early November through New Year’s.

If retail felt slow this year, you’re not imagining things. Big banners plan category resets months ahead; most categories are refreshed at least annually.

Product photography isn’t decoration. It’s conversion, returns, and compliance—rolled into pixels.

Private label (store brands) isn’t “coming.” It’s here—growing, confident, and better funded than ever. In 2024, U.S. store brands set record shares and surpassed $270B in sales; 2025 projections push even higher.